Trading Method Base Setup

Ticki Premium and Emini Day Trading

As program trading has become such a significant % of daily trading volume - the usage of ticki/premium has become a significant AND even necessary tool for trading the emini sp and emini russell - both for entry/exit timing AND for trade management.
   
Different Situations To Evaluate Ticki Extremes
 
ticki extremes in the direction of a continuing move
ticki extremes counter to the direction of the existing move
ticki extremes in a congesting market
ticki extremes alternating in a tight range
ticki extremes in combination with other indicators
ticki extremes upon trade entry
ticki extremes before a partial profit target is hit
ticki extremes after a trade has gained a partial profit

Emini SP - Ticki/Premium Trading Chart

 

Charts below - TradeStation 2000i: red/green dots for ticki extremes - yellow bars for es prem buy/sell numbers. I have found a very good usage for emini sp/ticki synch for emini russell trading.  NOTE:  these trades-charts were done before the cme tick aggregation and the switch from the russell 75 tick to 52 tick count for the 'fast' trading chart.
 
ES-ER2 Ticki Premium Trading

just like using any indicator-setup-trading tool - using ticki and/or premium and trying to synch with the es for russell trading doesn't always work and is sometimes confusing or misread - BUT does this eliminate or negate it's value over a large number of occurrences?  i answer this question no AND feel that the study and usage of this concept has definitely enhanced the profitability of russell trading.

Trade Decisions

purple circle1:  ticki low at the floor pivot in an up market - would you anticipate at least a pause/retrace?  i would answer this yes AND the decisions made AND consider these decisions base on market conditions-'bigger direction' - mixed method trade - proximity of price-fp-ticki low where the decision is being made:  (1) if i have a short available to take a partial profit on - give this very little room to break further before doing so (2) where will i hold my short too (3) what has to happen to continue the move (4) if/when exit will this be a reverse and/or what will a buy setup be.

ticki low retrace then back down - draw a line at the channel and note mex flow on retrace.  higher low - break line with indicator reverse AND open sell trailing contract is reversed on exit to long.

purple circle2 - es/er2 sync:  consider this first based on the PMD and what they don't know - that it was a ticki high which accelerated the buy break where the retrace/pause created the divergence AND that there PMD sell is actually triggered on a retrace to a ticki low.  we know this - as well as knowing that our indicators remain in buy.  we do want our partial profit on this potential extreme AND determine where trade support is to hold the open longs.

WHAT proceeds from here is one of the highest 'odds' combinations that i know - failure of a mixed method trade/resumption of directional trade AND especially when this direction is also the 'bigger' direction for the day. 

 
   

ticki low holds support - ttmf hooks and mex rolls back - PMD sell fails / green dot buy addon - location is the highs of reject and the price high before the PMD into the swing high.  also note the momentum trendline break.  i don't place trendlines on indicators very often BUT this would be a case where they are useful in terms of another visual for where the previous move resumes/counter move fails.

 
 
consider:  counter ticki and holding a trade
consider:  counter ticki and a counter trade
consider:  where you are on the chart in terms of price - where you are on the chart in terms of patterns across the chart
consider:  has there been a price failure to the previous move

the trade into this is long - on the russell we are straddling the floor pivot and on the es we are testing the floor pivot as support - the last high is with a price momentum divergence which is going to bring in mixed method trading to further 'confuse' the chart area.  we are essentially having alternating tickis in a stall/consolidation area without a pivot shift/reject. 

Trade Decisions

chart3a/3b: blue dot1 ticki low hold trade - if after this ticki the fp had rejected and the ticki low broke like the blue line/yellow dot - that would have been a reverse to short.  blue dot2  ticki low hold trade - no setup and higher low to both previous retraces - again would have been looking for some kind of fp reject/channel break to short.

ticki high double top - trendline break/fp hit - lower high with mex flowing down AND reverse out of trade as a fp failure setup combination.

 

consider:  trade setup and initial trigger as entry -vs- waiting for a continuation type entry as a market condition decision
consider:  price-pattern - has there been a price failure to the previous move

Trade Decisions

double top ticki high/PMD 'tease' tick higher high AND we know the mixed method traders are going short - our job becomes to take partials if contracts are available and decide where we will hold the trade to and IF it will be a reverse AND remember this is a buy in a down market on a move to the highs from the housing news.  price moves to the blue line support and bounces to a lower high and the dots shift - now the setup is a double top ticki highs at the high for a 1 point/blue line 2 point - dot shift 3 point with mex flowing down - red dot sell on the initial trigger. 

IF you miss this trade you have another setup at the yellow line/purple dot - note this is the 2nd break after the retrace because regardless that the market is down this has still shown as a support point on the swing into the sell.  considering the market condition decision that makes the combination setup an initial trigger entry - the purple dot sell at the matched price failure is an excellent addon setup.

 

consider:  price across the chart AND reactions to significant price areas
consider:  fast chart-slow chart sync

very significant to the opening buy run was first the identification of where we were on longer charts for resistance AND we had to discuss the daily chart where we 'found' 622.80/623.20 - this gave an addon at 9:12 +622.90 which continued to the highs at the time.

base trade setup:  slow chart/fast chart sync addon where the slow chart gives a reject/ttmf hook AND the fast chart gives an indicator resumption - being able to include a counter ticki as part of this setup 'adds' to the concept of reject.

Trade Decisions

these price lines and r2 give a PMD [sure hope the PMDers buying 623.20 enjoyed the abuse :)]  straddling the line and still short and then a reject break to swing lower lows AND there was nothing wrong with trying an addon there through 622.80 and just didn't.  another retrace back to the blue line 623.20 and a ticki high at purple circle - rejects to blue dots/then lower high AND red dot sell as an addon with the mex rollback AND note the sync with the 240t chart and how this is a ttmf hook.

 

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