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Day Trading Indicators - Indicator Trading
Did You Begin Day Trading As An Indicator Only
Trader?
Did you start day
trading after buying a book on technical analysis, and getting a
charting program - probably a free one that you found online - in
order to save money? While reading your book you learned
about trading indicators which could 'predict' price movement, and
what do you know, the 'best' indicators were actually included in
your free charting program - let the games begin.
Now that you have
all the day trading tools that are necessary, the book for
education AND the free charting program with those 'best' day
trading indicators, you now need a day trading plan so you can
decide which ones of those 'magic' day trading indicators you are
supposed to use. This really is a great book, besides telling you
how to day trade using indicators to 'predict' price - it also
said that you need a trading plan to day trade.
So what should this
plan be? The book told you
about trend following using an indicator called macd, and it also
told you how it was possible to pick the top or bottoms using an
indicator called stochastic; my guess is that you picked the
stochastic indicator to start your day trading - this must be the
'best of the best' since this indicator was going to ensure you of
entering your trades with the 'best' price. Amazing, simply
amazing how easy this day trading stuff really is. In fact,
why even bother taking the trades, each time your indicators give
a signal - just call up your broker and tell him to stick $100 in
your account.
My book was
Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets. My charting
program was TradeStation with an esignal fm receiver; that was the
one that if you hung the antennae wires just right, and you put
enough foil on the tips, you might even get quotes. I had
sold a business before I started trading so I did have some
capital - isn't that how everyone gets into trading, you either
sell a business or you lose your job? My indicator was the
macd as I had decided that I was going to be a 'trend follower'
instead of a 'top-bottom picker'. I also decided that I was
going to be 'extra' clever, if one indicator was good than two
indicators must be better, so I added a 20 period moving average.
My first trade was a winner, then after many months of extensive
therapy, I was finally able to forget the next twelve months -
ahhh the memories
J |
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Learning To Day Trading - The Learning Progression
Beginning to day trade, or learning to day trade, as an indicator
trader is very typical. This is also logical when you consider - HOW are
you supposed to initially learn how to trade? Trading indicators are
available to anyone who has a charting program, and simply using line crosses,
or histogram color changes, provide 'easy' signals to understand. If you
will also take the time to learn the arithmetic behind your indicators, as well
as learning what each indicator is specifically intended to do, not only is this
a logical way to begin, it is also a good 'step' in your learning progression -
understanding the WHAT you are doing, instead of attempting to create 'canned'
indicator only trading systems, without any regard as to WHY you are trading
this way.
This does become one of the 'sticking' points in your learning
progression, as you come to find out that you are unable to profitably trade
indicators as signals only - now what? Now what - you 'can't' develop your
own indicators, so you start doing google searches for day trading indicators
and start buying your 'collection' - they don't 'work' either. Now what -
you buy a mechanical trading system - what does hypothetical results may not be
indicative of real trading or future results mean? Now what - you start
subscribing to signal services OR you start joining the 'latest and greatest'
chatroom - am I really the only person using the signals who isn't profitable?
Now what - you never learn how to trade.
I began trading as an indicator trader, and I did try to learn
everything that I could about the various indicators, as well as trying to
combine indicators that were consistent with how I wanted to trade - I just
could never develop a mechanical day trading system from what was available to
me. I read a couple more books that didn't really help me, so I then
started looking for someone who could teach me. From what I now know about
gurus -vs- teachers, I am very lucky that I got involved with a money
manager-trader who taught me a tremendous amount, but I still couldn't get
profitable, in part because there was also 'pressure' to learn how to trade
using real money. As well, any discussions or thoughts about trading
psychology and the issues involved, especially to beginning traders, was
non-existent.
Now what - learning but losing - I stopped trading.
Learning to trading using real money, and 'scoffing' at trading
psychology as simply individual weakness, really was something that I now regard
as misinformation. I always mention this as I now feel that this cost me
as much as a year of time, and was very close to costing me my trading future,
as stopped trading was VERY close to quitting trading. How can't trading
psychology be real to a beginner, when you consider that you are risking losing
money at a very fast pace as a day trader, and when you further consider that
you are also doing this when you really don't know what you are doing - this is
NOT by definition being weak. And if trading psychology is real, how are
you going to learn to make 'good' trading habits with real money while you are
fighting the implications?
Now what - not trading and not ready [quite] to quit - still
studying and searching.
Probably the single most important 'thing' that got me to a next
step in learning how to trade, was the concept of a trading setup, and that a
setup and a signal were not the same. This was extremely meaningful to me,
as it also led to an understanding of how to better use trading indicators for
the information that they can provide, but not to use them as trading signals -
in essence I began learning about trading method where discretion could be
consistently applied -vs- trading system that was mechanical and arithmetic
rules.
Traders who are indicator only traders, are also what I refer to
right side only traders, that is they are always looking at the right side of
their charts for an indicator signal. BUT what about the left side of the
chart, what about price and patterns, what about market conditions - WHAT about
the relevant 'things' that are 'moving' price, instead of indicators only as an
arithmetic derivative of price, and thus, one that is dependant on the time
frame that you have chosen to trade from? These 'thoughts', along with the
concept of trade setup, became instrumental in the development of a trading
method, and how I came to turning my trading around.
When I think about the steps in my learning progression - I would
list them as follows:
- 2/95 - 6/96
- indicators
only
- teaching
service that included signals
- learning to
trading with real money and trading psychology issues
- stop trading
-
- 6/96 - 3/97
- understanding
of trading psychology issues
- learning
about trading setups concept
- trading
method -vs- trading system
- trade setup -
trade trigger are not the same
- method
development
- understand
the importance of the left side of the chart and what is happening 'across'
the chart
- related
trading setups and how/when they triggered
- indicators +
pattern
- indicators +
pattern + price
- indicators +
pattern + price + market conditions
- 3/97 - 11/97
- able to paper
trade profitably
- able to real
money trade profitably
- able to trade
for a living
Day Trading Indicators
WHY Use Indicators For Day Trading?
I have no inherent problem with trading indicators, nor do I feel
that my trading is diminished because indicators are used. Ever hear a
'guru' say that indicators are worthless, as they show you their charts with the
arrows on them that invariably are placed at the tops and bottoms of each price
swing? Now assuming that those arrows are real of course, and that the
charts shown are also typical - ever wonder what kind of 'indicators' they have
on THEIR charts that you aren't shown?
I am a directional trader that 'believes' that tradeable price
movement starts from the 'center' AND with a build in momentum that leads to
momentum expansion, moves to the 'outside' BUT when this is 'extreme' is
reached, a reverse is not imminent. Instead, price can hold a retrace to
trade support or resistance, stall, and then resume the previous move by
building-expanding momentum again, leading to a higher-lower swing 'extreme'.
Trading indicators, as I have come to use them, give me specific
information while reading a trading chart, and let me read that chart faster and
more accurately than I could without the indicators. The trading
indicators that I use have been developed or customized to 'fit' this trading
method and approach to trading, and thus are an important component of the
trading setup because of the specific information that they provide, as well,
they help give the right side timing or trigger to a setup trade - they are NOT
trading signals.
Day Trading Chart With Trading Indicators
Indicators On The Price Bars
(1) 9 period high-low channels: The channels have
been coded so that they are bright green on top after the bottom channel breaks
and slow momentum is red/bright red on the bottom after the top channel breaks
and slow momentum is green.
If this was traded as a mechanical system, I would be long when
the channel was bright red and short when the channel was bright green. As
I am what I would refer to as a directional trader, this would work very well in
markets that are a combination of longer continuation swings and shorter
congestion periods, but would 'overtrade' and typically get chopped up during
periods of extended tight ranges and congestion. Consequently, I trade a
method and not a system, in an attempt to eliminate certain trades during the
periods that are the weakest for this 'base' indicator mode.
(2) Direction-Congestion: The purple-blue dots have been
located in the area of the price channels - the difference between using actual
price and a channel indicator based on price. The dot colors and whether
there are single or double dots above or below price is not an arithmetic
formula, but have been determined by a number of different 'conditions' that
have been written in an attempt to define price continuation or price
congestion.
The 'strongest' combination of conditions for directional trading
gives single purple dots - on the bottom for long, and on the top for short.
This particular combination is similar to that of the price channels, but adds
the congestion conditions to the indicator, in order to help 'filter' trades
during this period.
Indicator Below The Price Bars
(1) Fast-Slow Momentum: For a momentum indicator, I have
used the difference between moving averages instead of the actual macd or
'canned' momentum indicator. The histogram is the difference between a 23
period and 4 period, and the line is the difference between a 10 period and 3
period.
Whatever you use for a momentum indicator, if you use a momentum
indicator, always remember that this is the 'worst' indicator that you can use
in congestion as it will keep 'flipping' during what is clearly meaningless
price moves, and if you mechanically trade each one of these 'flips, you are
going to get a series of losses that although 'small' individually, will
accumulate to the point where you will not be able to gain them back from
a 'good' winning trade. I use the momentum indicators for information, and
as setup components. For instance, one of my favorite setups uses a fast
momentum 'hook' in the direction of slow momentum, which is very useful as the
eventual entry during a 'sideways' period.
(2) Slow Momentum Flow: This is the purple-blue lines, and
has been coded to 'force' slow momentum into a fixed range oscillator. By doing
this, I can see when momentum, and thus price, is at a supposed 'extreme', but
this isn't my most specific use of this indicator. When I refer to
momentum flow, I am looking at two things: (1) what is momentum doing when
price is retracing (2) when does momentum resume and start to 'build' again
during sideways or congestion periods.
Day Trading Method - Using Trading Indicators
This chart begins with the market 'congesting', I can see this
from the overlapping price bars AND I can see this from the direction indicator
'double dots'. The location that this is occurring at is significant to
me, as the dark cyan line on the chart is the floor pivot trying to hold as
support AND the blue line which keeps hitting as resistance, is a price line
that I have seen from the left of this chart that has been both support and
resistance, what I refer to as a price specific.
Green Dot Buy: You can see the line has broke on 3 bars,
and you can see that the histogram has gone green-red-green while in this
sideways period - WHY is the green dot bought? While momentum is green
there is also 2 bars which are higher lows AND then the flow indicator 'rolls
back' - this becomes the timing of this 'ledge' breakout buy.
Yellow Dot Sell: This is where the trading indicators
reverse 'into sell' BUT at this time I do not have a sell setup coupled with
with the indicators - I might exit the buy if I don't chose to hold it back to
support, but I do not have a sell yet.
Red Dot1 Sell: The indicators have reversed, and price hits
the blue line now as support, and then retraces to a lower high. I am now
getting a sell setup to combine with the indicators - this includes the hit of
the res:sup price into the lower high WITH the flow indicator continuing down, a
double hold of the price channel [our method has a concept that doubles hold and
triples break], and a hook of the fast momentum indicator - the red dot was then
sold.
Red Dot2 Sell: After short, price moves back to the floor
pivot and stalls - actually it probably was bought by a trading method that I
refer to as a mixed method, meaning that this method's typical setups are
counter to our method - buying a pullback to the floor pivot would be one of
these trades. This trade is done as an addon, meaning that the red dot1
short is still open and an additional short is done. The dark blue lines
shown are a continuation wedge - falling tops with a flat bottom - the actual
timing of the trade is a triple break/the red dot breaks into the 2 dark blue
dots AND synchs with the roll back of the flow indicator. As well, and
very significant in the decision to do a trade addon which will risk the gains
of the initial sell, this setup is a failure of the mixed method trade, meaning
that there will be additional selling pressure as their counter buy is 'stopped'
out, and the momentum of the directional trade resumes.

Left Chart: This chart is the continuation of the chart
above - a very strong directional move down. I don't use the terminology
downtrend or uptrend when talking about day trading - I don't think we 'find'
trend on a day trading chart. For instance, the chart/trade being
discussed is an emini russell, and for day trading this contract I tend to use a
52 tick chart with a 120 tick chart. Depending on trading activity-volume,
the fast chart time equivalent is faster than minute bars - not the time frame I
would ever think to use to establish trend.
This chart is an example of a number of things: (1) it shows the
strength of our trading method in terms of trading 'big' directional moves (2)
it shows the issue with using momentum indicators for trading signals - this
issue being magnified by the time dependency impact upon your trading
indicators. This downswing is too strong for me to consider taking a buy
from any 'first' indicator reverse BUT why did it reverse? This happens
because the pause in momentum and price retrace, 'lasts' for enough bars, that
when compared to the size and rate of the move down, simply causes the indicator
arithmetic to cause a reverse.
Red Dot Sell: As mentioned, there was no consideration of
doing a buy, and there also wasn't a big enough retrace to even exit the
trailing contracts in the short. The blue lines are a bear flag pattern,
which is a resumption-continuation pattern to the downswing. You can also
see that there was still value to the trading indicators, the bear flag
break/red dot sell timing - also synchs with the resumption of the indicators
going from buy to sell. Additionally, something that is considered and
used for trading is that of a slower chart, again this is a 52 tick chart and
the slower chart is a 120 tick chart. When the fast chart indicators
reversed, the slow chart didn't AND when the fast chart resumed, the slow chart
gave a fast momentum hook. This trade was actually another addon sell
done, 2 addons to the same swing is not typical BUT certainly indicative to how
strong the move down is - the combination of the fast chart indicator resumption
WITH the slow chart fast momentum hook, is one of my favorite addon setups.
Right Side Chart: The chart that you are looking at is that
of the emini sp - the green-red dots occur when there is a ticki of +/-22, which
is an extreme measure to me, and the yellow bars will occur when there is a
premium buy or sell program. These are both indications of program trading
activity, and considering that program trading is greater than 50% of the total
volume of the NYSE, I have tried to incorporate this into my trading. I
place these indicators on my emini sp chart, instead of my emini russell chart
for 2 reasons: (1) I simply don't want anything else on top of my price
bars - there are times where the market is congesting inside of a tight range
and there is a continuum of these ticki extremes making the chart look like it
has been caught in a paintball crossfire. Seeing this is actually
valuable, it is a market condition/situation warning (2) I am trying to synch
the impact of program trades between movement on both markets.
Blue Circle1 - Synch With Red Dot Sell: The green dots show
a ticki high, which is a counter ticki to the downswing. This gives more
information when seeing that retrace that caused the fast chart momentum
reverse, price bounced with the ticki high - in the 'best' of circumstances I
don't want to enter a trade with a ticki extreme, but I certainly wouldn't want
to do this on a counter trade. As well, this counter ticki extreme gives
another component to the red dot sell - after this extreme the sell resumes,
this was a very good timing indication.
Blue Circle2 - Synch With Blue Dot Sell: First look at the
left chart again - the red dot sell breaks through the yellow line low AND now
retraces back to the line to try to shift it to resistance, as well there is a
ticki high when the line hits. Price consolidates between this line as
resistance, and the low as support which obviously has to break to continue the
swing.
During this consolidation there is another test of the yellow
line AND this synchs with the 2nd ticki high, which is also a double top.
The double top ticki high reject, leads into the yellow line-blue line/blue dot
continuation wedge break AND momentum resumption as another addon sell setup.
Yellow Bars - Program Trades and Trade Management: Unfortunately, I didn't do this blue dot addon
also, but I did have short contracts available to take a partial profit when the
premium program hit. My emini russell trading is typically done as 3
contract 'sets', which will then be scaled out of at 2 separate profit targets -
parital1 has a base size of 7 ticks, and partial2 has a base size of 14 ticks.
Although there are situations where 2 partials may be taken at the same time, or
the 2nd partial is done at a reduced size, 7 ticks for the first partial is a
minimum. The typical trading loss is around 4 ticks - NOT entered as a
fixed stop, but as an average of a 6 loss which is usually a worst case, and the
trades that maybe gain 1 ticks and are exited as a reversal trade OR a trade
that loses 1-2 ticks as there wasn't quite enough room to gain a partial profit,
but there was an adjustment made for this amount of price movement where the
full initial loss isn't taken.
I referred to these partials as base size, but the objective is
to be able to expand this size into bigger partial profits - trading into a
ticki-premium combination program, especially with the bigger direction, is one
of the primary tools for achieving this. In the case of the red dot sell -
partial1 was 14 ticks -vs- 7 ticks, and partial2 was 26 ticks -vs- 14 ticks = 40
ticks -vs- 21 ticks base on these 2 partial profits, achieved by not entering
fixed profit targets, and by using the additional swing size due to the program
trade as a tool to increase the profit size.
Granted, trading into premium programs, and getting partial
profits of this size, is not the typical case. But it does occur, and
there are numerous opportunities to get some amount of partial profit expansion,
for instance the additional movement that often happens from a ticki extreme
reject that 'leads' into a trade entry, and is then also followed by a ticki
extreme in the opposite direction. This then gives a 'quick' additional
movement of 3-5 ticks, which may be available to increase a 7 tick base partial1
into a 10 tick partial. All trades considered, with a minimum partial1 of
7 ticks and the amount of times that this partial can be expanded, my average
partial1 is at least 10 ticks.
Indicator Only Day Trader - Setup Including Indicators Method
Day Trader
I have attempted to discuss the way I started day trading, and
the way I think many-most traders typically begin. Along with this, I have
pointed various issues and problems that I had - those regarding how to learn to
trade, and then progressing into a profitable trader. My experiences have
been both personal, as well as those of many traders that I have worked with
over the last 8-9 years through Tactical Trading - that a very large number of
these problems are due to day trading only with indicators, the specific
indicators used, along with trying to turn these indicators into a mechanical
trading system. This is not to say that this can't be done - I simply
couldn't do it. However, I would strongly suggest that anyone who is in
the early stages of day trading, or struggling with their day trading, consider
these things that have been discussed.
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Tactical Trading, LLC. All rights reserved.
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